Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 5.974323 6.566116 7.218453 7.996069 8.904678 9.941417 11.226461
2024-11-03 5.015583 5.794646 6.722060 7.927322 9.483113 11.469746 14.279615
2024-11-10 4.686569 5.611439 6.776205 8.393809 10.657631 13.843840 18.942884
2024-11-17 4.352026 5.347477 6.654273 8.563607 11.413819 15.768045 23.560282
2024-11-24 3.985630 4.987686 6.342855 8.398210 11.620844 16.875482 27.211138
2024-12-01 3.726437 4.739970 6.147860 8.357859 11.987870 18.298372 31.994529
2024-12-08 3.467950 4.466708 5.883137 8.167662 12.063831 19.210038 36.129659
2024-12-15 3.286841 4.286205 5.733123 8.131932 12.385727 20.649186 42.238175
2024-12-22 3.126200 4.121538 5.589387 8.084153 12.670340 22.081293 49.241240
2024-12-29 3.043455 4.064050 5.602116 8.295204 13.469362 24.852141 62.466695
2025-01-05 2.868770 3.856276 5.361416 8.038721 13.306634 25.353949 68.497124
2025-01-12 2.710467 3.664301 5.132383 7.779840 13.099661 25.698126 74.367236
2025-01-19 2.567123 3.496902 4.946743 7.610115 13.117991 26.816062 86.014933
2025-01-26 2.453249 3.370437 4.821936 7.545521 13.370171 28.735545 105.551690
2025-02-02 2.438143 3.397254 4.952895 7.978634 14.838294 34.987200 171.280614
2025-02-09 2.376965 3.345374 4.944034 8.136071 15.697373 39.887962 257.521544
2025-02-16 2.272808 3.216979 4.791341 7.982716 15.739965 41.888325 329.470973
2025-02-23 2.194458 3.126693 4.699527 7.945286 16.083179 45.355360 474.428716
2025-03-02 2.102304 3.008618 4.549784 7.768772 16.012794 47.060486 623.303356
2025-03-09 2.036762 2.931933 4.470184 7.735596 16.344352 50.931764 1005.668636
2025-03-16 1.974325 2.857356 4.389462 7.691224 16.637389 54.932932 1795.872582
2025-03-23 1.946593 2.840453 4.414526 7.887154 17.713941 64.463462 8204.082754
2025-03-30 1.867320 2.730942 4.258014 7.649023 17.363605 65.039480 16522.112593